NHC Monitors Potential Low Northeast of Bahamas, Puts Seven-Day Development Chance at 30%
Smartor 편집팀
November 3, 2026
Featured image: AI-generated explanatory illustration of clouds over the western Atlantic, not an actual satellite image or forecast map.
The National Hurricane Center said in its 1 a.m. EST outlook on November 3 that it was monitoring the potential formation of a low-pressure area a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. It put the chance of tropical or subtropical development at 10% within 48 hours and 30% within seven days, classifying both probabilities as low.
The low is expected to form along a weakening frontal boundary in about a day, the Miami-based center said. It could acquire some subtropical characteristics late this week while drifting over the western Atlantic. The outlook describes a possible low and its prospects for further development; it is not an announcement that a tropical storm has already formed.
The development probabilities were higher than those cited in an earlier report on November 2. In an article updated at 12:24 p.m. that day, Florida broadcaster News4JAX quoted an NHC outlook putting the chances at 0% within 48 hours and 20% within seven days. North Carolina broadcaster WITN reported a seven-day chance of 30% on Monday afternoon.
WITN said at the time of its November 2 report that the system posed no threat to eastern North Carolina. In its November 3 outlook, the NHC said the low was expected to move eastward or northeastward into unfavorable environmental conditions over the weekend. The center expected the opportunity for subtropical development to end by then.